Case study · Global Health Risk Facility

Insuring the uninsurable.

A first-of-its-kind facility, capitalised and live before COVID-19 arrived. It didn't exist until someone did the work of building it.

A health worker carries a cold-chain vaccine box by motorbike on a rural last-mile route
Sector Global health · Specialty insurance
Partners AXA XL, Ascot, Parsyl, Gavi, The Global Fund & the Gates Foundation
Our role Design thinking, ideation & risk-mapping

We didn't write a report about insuring vaccine supply chains. We helped build the insurer that does it.

The problem

Every year, vaccines that survive the journey from factory to country fail in the final stretch. In one study of Cameroon's cold chain, the numbers were stark.

100% of vaccine shipments exposed to temperatures too high — and 83% to temperatures too low. A pattern repeated across the developing world.

Spoiled vaccines mean wasted donor money, broken trust and, ultimately, preventable disease. The insurance industry had the expertise to manage that risk. It just had no product, no data and no commercial model for doing so in the world's hardest-to-reach health systems.

The idea wasn't the problem. Nobody had built the thing.

What we did

Ninety led the design thinking, ideation and risk-mapping that turned a shared ambition into a workable proposition — working alongside AXA XL, Ascot, technology partner Parsyl, Gavi, the Global Fund and the Gates Foundation.

  • 01Mapped the risk. Across the entire global vaccine supply chain — then focused the work on the downstream, last-mile stretch where cover was most needed, and most absent.
  • 02Shaped the architecture. A risk-transfer vehicle paired with a Risk Management Facility, funding the data collection, assessments and capacity-building that make the risk insurable in the first place.
  • 03Kept the design honest. A self-sustaining, market-based solution with country contributions from the outset — not a subsidy that disappears when the donors do.

The outcome

The Global Health Risk Facility launched at Lloyd's of London as a first-of-its-kind "syndicate-in-a-box".

$100M+ facility making affordable cover available to Gavi and Global Fund countries for the first time.

It was designed to strengthen local insurance markets, reward better risk management, and grow to serve every low- and middle-income country those donors support.

When COVID-19 arrived, the facility was already standing — and went on to help underwrite vaccine distribution to emerging markets at the moment it mattered most.

The takeaway

The execution gap, not the ideas gap.

The GHRF existed as an aspiration for years. It became a real insurer once someone did the work of designing it, de-risking it and getting it to market.

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